Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
I'm certainly looking forward to an improvement of all of these counts into more tiers with more decision trees to separate truly high danger from just sort of high danger.
But until that day ... what we have is a better and fairer stat than just save percentage as a true high danger chance is defined as coming relatively in close and from a pass or tip that enters the range.
So it's something.
And it's clearly better than a Rittich fan sorting through recent goals and finding reasons why they're not his fault.
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And we can disagree on that.
Stats simply do not capture what the shooter does with the shot.
The key to evaluating a goalie is really what he does with the shots he actually faces. Best they can do is establish groups of shot context
I still go back to the shots taken by TB, classify that game as a statistical outlier
Roughly 85 percent of all shots are expected to be stopped. Roughly 5 percent of shots generally will go in, right? It’s that other 10 percent of shots that make or break a goalie. That’s actually not a lot of shots at all. And those are the ones that make a goalie brutal or great
Relying on statistics without a good way to differentiate between those particular shots.. well, they are just not measuring the right things to make it worthy of drawing conclusions, without meriting further discussion