Quote:
Originally Posted by Textcritic
Clearly. It seems to me that you care as much as you do precisely because you are struggling to accept that Rittich has not been as good in the past several weeks as he was in the first two months of the season.
I don't think the "how and why" are as mysterious or inscrutable as you are making them out to be: some of it has to do with team defense, but certainly not all of it.
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It’s not mysterious at all.
I really am not struggling with anything, except perhaps gaining mindshare that stats need context.
Let’s just put this out there. How many shots has Rittich faced since that not at all arbitrary Nov 25 date? About 600. What is the impact of 6 goals on .600 shots? .010 in save percentage.
Again, I can distinguish between a bad statistical night and a bad job.
There is nothing at all in the stats that distinguish shot quality or distribution. You have to assume it comes out in the wash.
People are making a case of equivalence based on sv% for a handpicked stretch of games.
Again, in 31 starts, goalie 1 has given up 4+ in regulation twice, against two of the top teams in the league.
Goalie 2 in 28 starts has given up 4+ 11 times. And in 5 of his last 10 starts
So to boil it down to one number and claim some equivalence merits a closer look
Like I said in another place, it was an unpopular opinion to say that Rittich could let in 6 but have played well. I knew it would lead to further discussion. Hence looking at it from several different angles.
But it seems that some people just want to drag it down to
- but save percentage!
- you’re biased!
Nah. I am a bit of a goaltender apologist. Always knew that in the years that Kipper was putting up .903 behind Keenan, while having seen Fernandez and Roloson both put up numbers in the .930s in Minnesota, that this was not a number you can hang your hat on