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Old 02-20-2019, 12:06 PM   #514
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PeteMoss View Post
Why November 25th? Its the definition of an abitrary endpoint chosen to prove a point.

Rittich's save percentage by month (and yes - months are arbitrary endpoints as well but readily available)
October .939
November .911
December .915
January .911
February .853

Safe to assume October was an outlier, probably safe to assume February is an outlier as well and he hasn't turned into the world goalie in the league.

That leaves you with 3 months where he was ranging from .911-.915 - not a world beater but above average.


Here's Smith by month:
October .878
November .895
December .899
January .888
February .908


So I can ignore the rest of the season and assume Smith has become average and Rittich has become the worst goalie in the world or I can just the larger sample and draw the reasonable conclusion.
That was the date that 960 was discussing (was it the 28th), doesn't matter, that's why I chose it.

I've been using Xmas break for Rittich as that seems to be the line in the sand for his performance.

Before Xmas Break - 20 games .923
After Xmas Break - 14 games .896

Or you could take out the outlier of October as you mentioned.

October - 6 games .939
Since - 28 games .905

Either way concerning.

But once again I'm not holding Smith up as the answer, just seems to me the Flames have gone from one of the best starters and worst backups to now having two just below average backups.
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