If we try to get a tie we either get a 1/3 chance of winning or we lose.
Scenarios:
f1/f2 vote for f3 and f3/O vote for say...f1. Oiler flips to f3 at the last second to lynch f3 and then night kills f1 or f2. Game over.
f1/f2 vote for O and f3/O vote for say... f1. Tie. O night kills say f1. Leaves f2/f3/O on the last day. They have to do a 2 on 1 vote.
f2/f3 v O win
f2/O v f3 lose
f3/O v f2 lose
That's why I'm not a fan of a tie. If we get it wrong, we're done.
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