Quote:
Originally Posted by WinnipegFan
Is there not only on Oiler left??? So we out number them no matter what. If we get a day and see who is night killed I would hope we can use that with all the talk today to try and piece something together. Rather than vote either of two people out who we are currently not convinced of....
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Yes, there's 6 flames and 1 oiler.
But if we tie, its 5 and 1, then if we lynch and there's a night kill its 3 and 1 then if we lynch and night kill again and we are wrong, the games over at 2 players left.
If we dont tie, there's 4 flames, 1 oiler. Then again is 2 flames one oiler.
While the number of flames fans is up, the percentage of finding the oiler fan technically drops. If our last day has 4 players rather than 3, it's a 25% chance of nabbing the oiler fan, while he has a 75% chance at winning. If there are 3 players left, he gets no night kill so he has the same 33/66% chance as the rest.
Like I said, I think the only way to push the tie is of we tie again once more the skew the numbers back and hope the night kills provide us information