Since my suspicious are on SebC, I thought I'd do the same exercise for him:
Day 1:
GGG - Vote / Unvote
Scornfire - Vote
(Also of note here is that I said I was willing to move my vote from agulati to Bonded and SebC objected right away)
Day 2:
GGG - Vote / Unvote
Crazy - Vote
Day 3:
Crazy - Vote
Day 4:
Winnipeg - Vote
Summary - these seems to further confirm my suspicions that SebC is an Oiler.
Both day 1 and 2 he votes for GGG early and then comes off pretty quickly. This would be very good strategy down the road if GGG flipped Oiler, he could say "look I voted for him on day 1 and 2". However - both of those unvotes were so early in the day, I don't really count them as votes at all. I read Scornfire as Flames fan due to him being the final vote to seal Bonded's fate, so I see SebC's vote here as a vote against a Flames fan. The other votes on day 2 and 3 are both for Crazy, another Flames fan. So what I see is basically two "fake" votes on an Oiler to try and potentially cover his tracks later, two votes for a known Flames fan, and one vote for a very likely Flames fan. Not exactly a great voting pattern for a Flames fan.
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