I don't see an invasion happening. Airstrikes maybe. But they'd be done under the authority of NATO or the UN.
The Americans could win a conventional war easily against Iran. They may not be the pushovers Iraq was, but the American army is the most technologically advanced in the world. Their navy and air force are unmatched. It would be a quick victory.
The problem is that the objective of an invasion, to get regime change and promote liberalism in the Middle East, wouldn't occur. It would be the same as Iraq where they'd be bogged down as a foreign occupier trying to eliminate an insurgency. Ther would be violence and extremists would have even more influence.
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