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Old 12-24-2006, 11:50 AM   #11
octothorp
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oilers_fan View Post
I don't want to see a full scaled invasion. I'd much prefer seeing the citizens rise up and overthrow Ahmadinejad. It almost sounds as if there is enough dissension in the country for that to happen at some point in the future.
When you say 'overthrow', do you mean 'exercise their right to vote him out at the next general election'? Or do you expect him to be impeached? Really, Ahmadinejad is neither here nor there; he's a democratically elected official, and while people may protest against them, the likelyhood of them actually having a rebellion to forcibly remove him from power is about as likely as the same happening to Bush. The earliest he'll be removed from power is at the general election in 2009.
And even if that were to happen, any Iranian revolution that falls short of a complete restructuring of the upper levels of power (supreme leader and council of guardians) is really inconsequential; and I haven't gotten the impression that there is anywhere close to the level of public support for that scale of revolution. That's the nice thing about the Iranian style of government: they can placate the people with the illusion of effective democracy, while maintaining a powerful and stable theocracy.
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