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Old 12-25-2018, 05:33 PM   #474
DeluxeMoustache
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Textcritic View Post
So, where is your data? You claim that goalies can plough through +70 games without missing a beat. Who are all these goalies, and how successful have they been in the Stanley Cup playoffs over the past decade?

Never mind the Stanley Cup winner portion of your argument. Most goalies don’t win the Cup.

Here is some data. If fatigue was an issue, presumably towards the end of a 70-75 start season, goalie stats would falter.


http://brodeurisafraud.blogspot.com/...tigue.html?m=1


Quote:
The justification for the importance placed on games played seems to be that it is more difficult to play more games. I remain unconvinced that playing additional games is significantly more difficult. I think that virtually every goalie in the NHL is capable of handling the workload. If they weren't, then they would have failed on some lower level (junior, college, minor-league) when they were asked to play 70-75 games a season.

But what do the numbers say about it? Yahoo Sports provides breakdowns of month-by-month stats, so I thought it would be interesting to see if goalies tired as the season went on, which is what would be expected if fatigue is an issue. To ensure that I had a full selection of statistics and that era issues wouldn't come into play, I chose a group of goalies that have played a lot of minutes in recent years and that began their careers relatively recently (e.g. late '90s or later).

Here is the list of goalies in the sample: Roberto Luongo, J.S. Giguere, Marty Turco, Tomas Vokoun, Evgeni Nabokov, Miikka Kiprusoff, Jose Theodore, Nikolai Khabibulin, Rick DiPietro, Marc Denis, Ryan Miller, and Henrik Lundqvist.

I broke down their statistics by month to see what the results were (minutes, win %, GAA, save %, shutouts):

October: 543 GP, 2.71, .905, .497 win %, 28 SO
November: 730 GP, 2.53, .912, .531 win %, 53 SO
December: 774 GP, 2.48, .914, .547 win %, 54 SO
January: 768 GP, 2.58, .910, .521 win %, 53 SO
February: 653 GP, 2.56, .912, .535 win %, 53 SO
March: 817 GP, 2.53, .913, .539 win %, 53 SO
April: 242 GP, 2.52, .913, .566 win %, 14 SO
You can see that there is no discernible dropoff in performance over the course of a season.
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