There is no argument with the math on this, you go for 2 when scoring a td down 14 in the 4th after cutting it to 8
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/h...fans-feelings/
http://www.espn.com/blog/nflnation/p...-was-easy-call
https://predictivefootball.com/late-...r-a-touchdown/
Each link explains it in detail but from the espn one
Talking about when the eagles went for 2 on the first td when down 2 in a game earlier
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For those keeping score at home, that’s 46 percent to win, 28 percent to tie and 26 percent to lose. Since we’re assuming that’s the only other score in the game, let’s just split the 28 percent evenly between the two teams in overtime for simplicity -- leaving us with the Eagles having a 60 percent chance to win and a 40 percent chance to lose.
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And if they attempted a pat
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In this case, it’s 0 percent to win, 91 percent to tie and 9 percent to lose. Or, after factoring in overtime, 45.5 percent to win and 55.5 percent to lose. Much worse.
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