[Senator Clay Davis]

The point of going for two when down 28-20 rather than the extra point is that the likelihood of coming back from 28-14 with 7 minutes left, even if this era, is still less than 5%. So since your odds are long to begin with, going for two early means that even if you miss you can still go for it again on the second touchdown. But if you get it on the first one then you've simply made things much easier if you get the second touchdown. Since statistically speaking the rate of conversion for two is 50%, going for it twice statistically nets you 14 points. If you do as the Chargers did last night and miss the two at the end, well then obviously you've lost. If they had missed it going for two at 28-20, they still at least have the chance to tie, but if successful for two at 28-20, they have made winning a 95% chance instead of a 50% chance if they score the second TD.

Doug Pederson tried this earlier this year against the Vikings and they missed the two. But it's still something coaches should do. Statistically speaking the worst case scenario should be a tie if you score two TDs.