Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
If we both flip coins 100 times, and you flip 55 heads and I only flip 48 heads, are you better at flipping heads than I am?
If we don't have measurements to determine or assess the validity of our results, stats are meaningless.
Now, if one defenseman is giving up egregious scoring chances seemingly every shift, and another isn't, we don't need stats to verify what we already know. But when we are talking 55% vs 50%, with other variables at play at the same time, we sure as hell do.
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And I get that.
I guess it comes down to what the gap is, how repeatable it is, and whether you see that as significant.
When it comes to CA/60 this year the top ten average 47.5, the next ten 50.0 so that's not a huge gap and I think it fits into your coin toss example.
But Cody Ceci is at 75 and Mark Giordano is at 48 ... that's a big gap. Last year Ceci was at 68 and Giordano was at 52. The gap is wider this year, but the consistency between the two ois that less bad things happen when Giordano is on the ice when compared to Ceci.
But as you've said ... there are other factors. The Senators suck the Flames don't ... though both teams missed the playoffs last year.
However I'm pretty comfortable in saying Giordano would have better numbers playing for the Senators that Ceci does now.