Thread: 2018 NFL thread
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Old 12-06-2018, 07:25 PM   #2420
Senator Clay Davis
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Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jason14h View Post
It is insane to suggest walking away from a Trubisky or Mariota and hoping you get extremely lucky and find the next Brady, Manning, orRogers.
It's not so much about finding the next Brady or Rodgers, it's about how costly it is to pay for average QB play once a guy gets to the franchise/UFA years, and whether it's more financial sound to go back into the draft and hope you can get the same level of QB play on the rookie scale instead. Now I'm not saying you need to get a Mahomes or Watson, but they will make less than $5 million against the cap for the next two seasons.

As rube points out, there are seemingly two ways to win now: Have an elite QB so you can shortchange your roster elsewhere, or get the QB on the rookie scale and load up your team for a short window (assuming you've otherwise managed your cap well, of course). So when a Trubisky or Mariota hit the franchise/UFA years, I think you have to seriously wonder whether you can't find equivalent play in the draft.

Now this strategy makes more sense with an offensive head coach who can scheme well and develop a QB, but QB contracts aren't going down in value relative to the cap. So I wonder when we will see a team walk away from someone after year 4/5 and try and find an equivalent player (at least) in the draft.
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