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Old 12-01-2018, 11:23 PM   #3321
oldschoolcalgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Strange Brew View Post
So you’re saying Flames received mid second round pick value for Fox in that trade? That may be right but curious as to how you are so certain.

As I said, what I really object to is the notion that unsigned Fox was worth nothing to the Flames. Because for one thing, it’s not binary: signed or unsigned. Its a spectrum of likelihood to sign from 0 to 100 that affects the “control” piece of the value. And we don’t know what that was. And even if it was zero, his value isn’t zero unless it’s clear he would refuse to sign with anyone, or only one team.

The chatter after the deal was done was meant to make people think the likelihood was low, thereby changing their relative perception of value obtained.
There was a quite a bit of chatter before the trade when Calgary did try to sign Fox and he decided to go back to Harvard...

I think people still thought he would sign, but the chatter that you talk of existed before the trade and was not something that was purely to provide cover... there was quite a bit of discussion of being worried of not signing Fox after his decision to go back to school

The caveat then was that out of all the college players drafted, very few go the UFA route, including Gaudreau and Janko...but there was definitely some concern after the pitch was made and turned down
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