Quote:
Originally Posted by Flames Draft Watcher
Your whole premise is completely flawed by the fact that this won’t be Tkachuk’s only contract and how much he makes on his 3rd contract can be influenced by how much he makes on his 2nd contract. So the 7 vs 8 million in your example may cost him millions on his next deal.
I think you underestimate the leverage a top caliber player holding out has. Tkachuk holding out a couple months could hurt the Flames playoff chances. There’s pressure on both sides. Yes the team has more leverage but it’s not as one sided as you tried to make it out earlier in this thread.
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Your reasoning behind ‘completely flawed’ is completely bizarre to me.
I do not agree at all that the terms of an expired contract will have influence on a new one. Play on the ice will be much more of a factor than a dusty old piece of paper.
(Edit: Did you just suggest that a reason he has to maximize this, let’s say, 7 ish year deal is to set the table for his next, and UFA deal? And use that as a justification to call my premise completely flawed? Uh, ok)
I’m not saying the player has no leverage at all. Just much less.
I was talking about leverage. The player’s strongest card is his threat to withhold services for the full year, right?
Once they are close, the player then definitely stands to lose more by holding out. They have very few years in their playing career. One season is 5 percent of a very, very long career.
So the numbers have to be pretty far apart for a holdout to be worthwhile to the player. No chance to win, no chance to earn. Agent doesn’t get paid. Player doesn’t get paid.
Let’s put it this way. If the player doesn’t sign, the team can still make the playoffs. A good team still has a good chance. And the Flames have a lot of good players. (No, not all as good as him, but right now they have 4 in the top 15 of league scoring. So this isn’t like when the Flames went as Iggy went)
But he 100% certainly can’t be part of the playoffs if he holds out. He throws away (likely at minimum) 5 percent of his career and chalks up a zero on the NHL earnings board for that year.
Nope. A year holdout is a terrible outcome for the player, way worse than for the team.