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Old 11-12-2018, 11:34 AM   #39
DeluxeMoustache
 
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I agree, I know it’s not a model. Let’s call it a concept.

I actually like the concept to a degree. But the closer what you are analyzing is to the data, the more useful.

Look at all of the Bennett conversation. It is very clear that this year he is having an impact on the ice. He is generating scoring chances, has been snakebit, and not been finishing.

Generally the concept works for individuals in helping analyze their play relative to peers

However translating shots and things you can count to something that can be predictive of actual team results just has too many levels in between, and factors which can’t be isolated and factored in appropriately. So it isn’t as you say a model.

I have read enough of your commentary (and thanks for it) know that you know this, and know that you are clear about what you do and don’t try to represent using the data.

I think the stats are interesting. I also know they are simple and not predictive. I think we see things the same way.
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