Quote:
Originally Posted by Resolute 14
Yeah, I get what you are trying to do. I just don't think this format works. There are a multitude of reasons why a single game may appear to be better or worse than the 16-game average of your median team: score effects (i.e.: the Pens debacle), quality of opponent, etc. And 16th place is a moving target.
I'm also trying to figure out how we can appear to be so bad at CF according to that table while being one of the top teams in the league in CF, CF/60 and CF%. That table has us below the median team in 12 of 16 games and above in only three.
I'm not saying the idea is bad. I am suggesting that the idea needs to be refined.
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Are you mixing up CF and CF%?
The look of the two graphs suggests the Flames are super elite in CA (or prevention of shot events), not CF the generation of shot events. So the CF vs the 16th place team is hit and miss, while the CA line in the second graph is always above the bubble team and dominant.
If your CA is always above the bubble team your CF% is going to be pretty damn good, but that doesn't mean your CF necessarily is.