Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
Picture tells 1000 words
I went with a rolling 5 game on a 55 game season because it does a good job of moving out noise (one bad game), while also keeps things moving so his great starts at the beginning of the season roll off and get into 5 games segments.
A few things are true here.
1. He had a great start
2. It wasn't just a great start.
He went a half season of elite goaltending, had a dip around start 22-23, pulled that out and was a big part of the team's move up the standings in January, struggled a bit before his injury, and clearly came back too soon.
Other than his post injury sag he was a +.920 goaltender essentially all season which makes him a top half goatlender in the National Hockey League. All numbers included he's top 20.
Additionally he was .937 on the road and .901 at home, which was as odd as the team with both expected to normalize I would imagine. |
What’s that chart? It’s not a 5 game rolling average of those games, must be a 5 game rolling average of YTD save %. I’m not sure what that means, because as the year goes on, sample size increases and the number obviously stabilizes.
On quick inspection, Mar 16-26 5 game stretch - 19 GA on 119 shots. .840 for that 5 game stint
Here are a couple of 5 game segments from earlier in the year -
Nov 5-18 - 18 ga 141 sa, .872
Nov 24-Dec 4 - 18 ga 145 sa, .876 (including 3x 5 GA and 1 shutout)
Fact is he had a few flat stints, and I don’t know how to use your chart.