Quote:
Originally Posted by JetsFlamesFan
His save % was .880 after his injury, well below his season average of .916. He came back from injury and stunk at the worst possible time. The fact that the shots are the denominator is irrelevant, unless you are suggesting that goalies stop less pucks on average when they face less shots. I don't think that's true and if you look at Smith's game by game stats after his injury you'll see that it doesn't bear out that way. If a goalie typically stops 90% of shots, then he should stop 90% of 20 or 40, the number of shots really shouldn't matter?
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Picture tells 1000 words
I went with a rolling 5 game on a 55 game season because it does a good job of moving out noise (one bad game), while also keeps things moving so his great starts at the beginning of the season roll off and get into 5 games segments.
A few things are true here.
1. He had a great start
2. It wasn't just a great start.
He went a half season of elite goaltending, had a dip around start 22-23, pulled that out and was a big part of the team's move up the standings in January, struggled a bit before his injury, and clearly came back too soon.
Other than his post injury sag he was a +.920 goaltender essentially all season which makes him a top half goatlender in the National Hockey League. All numbers included he's top 20.
Additionally he was .937 on the road and .901 at home, which was as odd as the team with both expected to normalize I would imagine.