Quote:
Originally Posted by belsarius
So 46% of the vote should have been plenty. I just need an explanation of how previous PC governments caused Prentice's support to drop from 46% to 27.8% in 3 months? If Albertans support a tough budget then wouldn't he have gained support? He seemed to think so with the early election call.
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I already addressed that, years of poor fiscal management and corruption and the floor crossings turned people off, if Prentice had been running without all the baggage he would have won easily.You are picking one moment in time with the polls to base your argument on.
In 2015 parties that were preaching fiscal sanity took over 50% of the vote and it is pretty obvious that some PC support that is normally fiscally conservative bled to the NDP over social issues with the WRP.
To expand on this, in most those elections the 2nd place party was preaching fiscal sanity. Going off memory here, not going to bother spending hours researching.
In 1993 the Liberal almost won government by going right of the PC's, Klein stole their platform basically.
In 1997 and 2001 it didn't really matter who the opposition was, a majority supported the PC's and austerity budgets.
In 2004 and 2008 I seem to remember Taft was fairly fiscally conservative, I remember him campaigning on building the Heritage Fund.
In 2012 the PC's and WR took almost 80% of the vote, no doubt a good 15%+ of the PC vote was from strategic voting though. Thanks for Redford guys.
In 2015 it took a near perfect vote split, a PC protest vote and a near perfect strategic vote to get the NDP in.