Quote:
Originally Posted by Flash Walken
Not really sure how constructive this is to compare to the league average, the comparison should be to their career average, and some of those comparisons shouldn't be made like in the case of Stajan for instance. The wheels clearly fell off for him last season, and now he's in Europe.
Stone for example has a career shooting percentage of 4.4 and shot 3.1 last year, but he has some outlier seasons at the start of the career.
Lazar has a career shooting percentage of 5.7, so expecting him to hit 9 or 10% is a big ask.
Backlund can definitely improve his shooting percentage,
My impression is that shooting percentages were down largely because shots for were up.
TJ Brodie saw a decline in shooting percentage from 7.7% to 3.4% from 2016/2017 to 2017/2018, but he saw an increase of 40 more shots as compared to the season previous.
In Backlund's final season under hartley, he took 155 shots through 82 games, converting on 13.5%.
Last season, Backlund took 214 shots, nearly 40% more shots, and converted on 6.5%. He scored 2 less points last season as compared to his last season under Hartley.
The Flames were taking a larger volume of lower percentage shots as a group which I think is the greatest contributing factor to their lower shooting percentages.
In the last season under hartley the Flames were 20th in Shots For Per Game with 29.2, basically sandwiched between 23rd place and 14th.
Last season under GG, the Flames were 6th overall in shots for with 33.6, sandwiched between 9th and 4th (carolina).
Hartley's last year outscored GG's last year by 13 goals. Hartley's last year allowed 14 more goals than GG's last season.
It's not apples to apples, but I think it's a pretty good illustration that there was a finite amount of talent on the roster for both coaches that could be deployed in different ways and essentially yield the same results.
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That's an interesting premise, let me look into that. It doesn't explain every player but it may explain what happened to the 3M line.
One thing to remember too though is the fact that the league added a new way of counting shots on goal last season which saw the average game go up by 10% ... that factors into most of your team differential as every team went up on average last year.
The 15th ranked NHL team two years ago had 30.4 shots, last year 32.2 so 1.8 shots per game for the median team. Calgary went from 29.1 to 33.6 or up 4.7, seems like a third of that at least was do to counting.