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Originally Posted by New Era
And I’m fine with you believing something ridiculous. Flames were just unlucky.
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I could be wrong, but I don't think Bingo meant to suggest that "luck" accounts for everything that went wrong with the Flames last season. By and large, I think it is also shortsighted to dismiss how much the randomness of luck factors into a team's success for failure over the course of a full season.
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That is something Oilers fans were saying when they dreamed up half of these advanced stats to make themselves feel better about bad play. The reality is the Flames played a bad and very predictable system. When you know what they are going to do, it is easy t defend against. I mean, like was any team surprised the Flames would start moving forward then make a back pass to a guy rushing up the ice? They were PREDICTABLE, and it didn’t take anyone counting those back passes to figure out what was going to happen. All it took was watching a few games. The Flames were the same no-trick pony for much of the season and it became easier to defend against. When you know that a pitcher only has a fast ball you get to sit on it and the results speak for themselves.
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So, you have now changed the tack of your argument, which was originally:
Quote:
Originally Posted by New Era
...Throwing a ton of pucks at the net from low percentage areas does not trump a few pucks from high percentage areas. The Flames can skate around the perimeter and throw pucks from outside all night and all they do is generate a lot of shots with no goals...
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While I think you are now more on-point with your "predictability" narrative, you would also do well to acknowledge that there were certainly elements of the coach's system last season that did work: namely, the team was able to control the puck in the offensive zone, and to generate high-quality scoring chances with a high level of consistency.
This is in large part what Bingo is getting at, and which various models help to identify: The Flames need to improve in areas beyond their ability to possess and control the puck, which appear to be just fine.