Quote:
Originally Posted by JackIsBack
Really.... I hate to point this out...but if I were to use your math... Gaudreau would be at 82 goals... I took some statistical liberties in my calculations - to get fairer numbers. You see, if someone scored 10 goals in 20 games one year, and then 20 in 60 games - their career "seasonal" high is really 20 goals... weighting that, you get 27 goals... if I were to take their non-career high, but their higher goals per game season, I'd get 41 goals... but I feel that 27 goals is more realistic... don't you? I hope Johnny scores 82 goals.... I really DO!
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So Johnny potting 30 goals in ~a full season isn't an accurate reflection of his potential.
But Ty Rattie....the guy who has 9 total NHL goals in 49 games (15 goal/82 game pace) should be given the benefit of a 14 game sample size to extrapolate to 29 goals?
Checks out to me.
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