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Old 08-30-2018, 08:31 AM   #151
kermitology
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Join Date: Oct 2001
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cral12 View Post
This article highlights everything wrong with studies that make claims like this:

Is one drink per day really unsafe? That new alcohol study, explained. https://www.vox.com/science-and-heal...source=twitter via @voxdotcom

Excerpt:

"Over at the New York Times, Aaron Carroll did a great job of putting this risk into perspective. A 0.5 percent relative risk increase between no drinking and one-drink-a-day means four more people in 100,000 per year will experience an alcohol-related problem. Here’s Carroll:

For each set of 100,000 people who have one drink a day per year, 918 can expect to experience one of the 23 alcohol-related problems in any year. Of those who drink nothing, 914 can expect to experience a problem. ... At two drinks per day, the number experiencing a problem increased to 977. Even at five drinks per day, which most agree is too much, the vast majority of people are unaffected.

Put another way, statistician David Spiegelhalter estimated that 25,000 people would need to drink 400,000 bottles of gin to experience one extra health problem compared to non-drinkers, “which indicates a rather low level of harm in these occasional drinkers.”


Came here to post his Carroll’s article: https://theincidentaleconomist.com/w...lcohols-risks/
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