Quote:
Originally Posted by tkflames
I get your point, but it is blind to not acknowledge there has been another step change in salaries. The last time it happened was the "6x6 contract era". It will be interesting to see in the next couple of years if we are reaching capacity on the salary cap and these associated contracts or if the league will find ways to continue to grow. I would suggest that as it stands right now, the league is pretty close to what can be achieved in terms of gate generated revenue. Hard to imagine fans will be able to absorb another 50% increase in the next 5 or so years. If the cap does stagnate, 10% is a lot to pay your #2 center for 8 of his UFA years.
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It'll be interesting to see if the cap growth (and therefore revenue growth) slows down or reverses. Since 05-06, the cap has grown at an average rate of 5.36% per season. It's gone down exactly once in 13 seasons, from the 11-12 to the 12-13 season - though the prorated cap in the shortened 12-13 was actually an increase if extrapolated out to an 82 game season. The cap being the same value it was in 13-14 as it was in 11-12 means the cap stayed flat exactly once, too.
Even if you only look at cap increases since 14-15 when the Rogers TV contract kicked in and the CAD stopped trading at around par with the USD and instead fell to a lower $0.70 - $0.80 range, the cap has still increased an average of 3.6% per season.
An even slower growth rate of 3.2% per season on average still has the cap just a shade under $100M per club in the 25-26 when the Rogers TV contract expires.