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Originally Posted by devo22
RH shot, good on faceoffs ...
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Originally Posted by devo22
which RH center who's good on FOs....
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Originally Posted by Roof-Daddy
15 goals, 38 points last year with a 56.5% face off percentage last year, 15+ minutes per night.
He's 31 but not a lot of pro miles on.
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Originally Posted by ComixZone
Ryan's advanced stats are very strong and he's very good in the face-off circle as he's put up 55.3%, and 56.5% during the last 2 seasons. He's likely being viewed as the stabilizing force on the 4th line and will be a mainstay on PP 2.
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Not disagreeing with anyone per se, but using this as a jumping off point to talk about face offs. . . .
For a number of years one of my most well worn critiques of the Flames was their continual failure to sign or develop a strong face off man, and the team's overall poor face off performance. Then I came across
this article from Sports Illustrated, and was pretty shocked by the conclusions it presented. . . .
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There are lots of different scopes one can view face-offs under, but all can also logically be brought into focus.
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1. How do face-offs impact long-term performance?
The answer to the first question seems to be rather unanimous, and for good reason. Nothing has indicated there is any meaningful statistical correlation in large sample sizes between winnings face-offs, and winning hockey games.
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2. How do face-offs impact single-game performance?
[T]he information we have also shows that winning more face-offs than your opponent by a wide margin over 60-to-65 minutes also does not portend winning said game.
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3. How do face-offs impact individual performance? (Restated as: If face-offs create puck possession (true), and puck possession is good (also true) would a center with poor face-off numbers transitively have poor puck possession numbers?)
(No convenient summary, but basically, no. Some of the top faceoff men have poor possession stats, and some of the top possession players have poor faceoff stats).
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4. The last wrinkle to this would be to specifically look at offensive zone face-offs and the impact they could have on goal scoring.
This is a topic Craig Tabita explored in 2015 for Hockey Prospectus and, the results did not help to increase the significance of face-offs.
His findings said that, from the start of the 2009 season through January 2015, a goal was scored within 10 seconds of an even-strength face-off in about one in every 120 said face-offs, or once in every four games.
The odd goal scored following a face-off could undoubtedly influence that game, but these events are too few and far between to be considered a serious, long-term impact on winning hockey games.
What winning an offensive-zone can do is put the wheels in motion for a sequence that takes advantage of layered screens or creating distance and spacing for shooters.
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