Quote:
Originally Posted by VilleN
This is where I disagree, if Lazar ends up being a good 4th liner for us I think the 2nd rounder was well spent and that the gamble paid off. 2nd rounders have less than a 50% chance of ever becoming an NHL regular. Even if Lazar drops out of the league all-together by next season, he still would have provided roughly the same value that a typical 2nd rounder would provide. It wasn't a very big gamble, and to me the trade isn't really worth dissecting.
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While this may be true, there is a chance (however slim) that the 2nd rounder becomes a top 6 NHL forward, top 4 NHL defenseman or starting goaltender. There is even an outside chance that player becomes an all-star.
These are things that Lazar basically has a 0% chance of ever becoming. Not to mention, those type of players are much harder to acquire and are almost never acquired cheaply, while on the other hand, quality 4th liners are a dime a dozen.