Quote:
Originally Posted by GioforPM
It was 3% even after the season. Before the season, I would have placed the chances of finishing the season out of the lottery at above 80% and then the lottery odds being at most 3% like they were. So in total, probably a 1% chance. As it turned out the 80% bet lost, but the lottery odds worked out.
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It was 3.5% to get the first pick. It was 11.4% to get one of the top 3 picks.
But I agree the risk was very acceptable.