Quote:
Originally Posted by ricardodw
Bingo was highlighted how good the Flames were on CORSI and made it obvious how little it correlated to relative success (standings). There is a therefore a lot of CP pushback against CORSI being a valid measurement and results in a search for a better analytics answer.
Team strategies focus on puck movement before taking a shot makes the positive CORSI % to go down dramatically. There would not be any positive possession event on a blocked pass or even a completed pass that does not set up a shot. However intuitively (almost mathematically) the shooting % would go up.
This was the style of play by Hartley's 2014-2015 team. How many times were we told that the shooting % was just lucky and would revert to the norm. The Flames brought in coaches to improve the CORSI which really crushed the shooting %.
The correlation with shooting % to team success is very high.
Of the the 16 playoff teams 15 were in the top team shooting %. Columbus was the only team making the playoffs that was not in the top 16 in Shooting %... NYI were the only team not in the playoffs with a shooting % in the top 16.
The Flames were 29th in 2017-18 shooting %. Them finishing higher in the standing indicates to me that they had enough raw skill and talent to finish 9 spots better than the Flames system should have provided.
The Peters coached team was 28th in shooting %..
If the Flames continue the CORSI domination strategy they will be passed by the teams that focus on shooting %.
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OK ... how do you focus on shooting percentage.
Hartley's 14-15 team was off the charts because they played a counter attack style that was unsustainable long term.
Get out played badly, but catch the other team with a Rocky Balboa right hook out of nowhere.
Not a plan for success.
Possession isn't a bad word. It's good to have the puck, generate more shots and scoring chances than the opposition. If these chances aren't as dangerous as other teams than you have to question the system.