Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - Shot quality, expected goals and the Royal Road

Nelson · 04-22-2018, 08:52 AM

First, to get those cross-ice passes below the faceoff circles, most of the time it seems like you’d need to be on the PP (not run by Cameron) or rushing up the ice on an odd-man rush because of the space requirements.

It seems like what is needed is a ASQ% (ACQ%, AFQ%...) measurement. The ASQ% would come from someone categorizing each shot, designating each shot a percentage (ex: cross royal road pass below faceoff circles = 22%), summing up all the shot percentages and dividing by total shots to get the average shot quality percentage.

Then, by comparing that to SF%, you could get a much clearer picture of your team’s actual share of the offence for a given game.

And then you could do it all again for the defensive zone (ASQA% and SA%).

These stats would be solely team stats and would do a good job of allowing coaches to evaluate the performance of their systems.

04-22-2018, 08:52 AM	#9
Nelson First Line Centre Join Date: Jul 2016 Exp:	First, to get those cross-ice passes below the faceoff circles, most of the time it seems like you’d need to be on the PP (not run by Cameron) or rushing up the ice on an odd-man rush because of the space requirements. It seems like what is needed is a ASQ% (ACQ%, AFQ%...) measurement. The ASQ% would come from someone categorizing each shot, designating each shot a percentage (ex: cross royal road pass below faceoff circles = 22%), summing up all the shot percentages and dividing by total shots to get the average shot quality percentage. Then, by comparing that to SF%, you could get a much clearer picture of your team’s actual share of the offence for a given game. And then you could do it all again for the defensive zone (ASQA% and SA%). These stats would be solely team stats and would do a good job of allowing coaches to evaluate the performance of their systems.