Quote:
Originally Posted by Erick Estrada
I understand what you are saying and I also understand that this team wasted an awful lot of scoring chances with missed shots. There's no doubt this was a bit of a hard luck team but at the same time there was a lot of nights where you could look up on the scoreboard and see the Flames outshooting their opponents without the recollection of many legit scoring chances for. The problems aren't all Gulutzan of course as if there was a stat for shots directly into goaltenders bread basket the Flames would dominate the that stat. I respect that you put in the work to dig in and provide us these advanced stats but I keep going back to the eye test as this team simply never looked great all season for the most part despite what recorded stats may indicate. The Flames were 6th overall in shots per game and 27th in goals for per game and I simply don't accept that such a large disparity is due simply to bad luck or bad players as in my mind there's no doubt their shot totals were inflated. They were not a very good team this season by every measure except advanced stats so much like 2014/15 the Flames defied the stats which goes to show the only thing that really matters is the results.
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Don't disagree with the first part at all - "luck", like "chance" eventually evens out over a long enough period.
Bad players? Don't think they're bad, but do think they were not put in a position to succeed by the "system" they were told to play.
But how do you see the shot totals as inflated? Isn't that done/counted by more-or-less neutral parties? (Yes, there is some subjectivity on whether a shot was toward the net or not, but it can't be that huge.)