This doesn't suprise me as much as it seems to most people...I figured Ed had a good chance because:
-Morton's support was strong, but it wasn't going to grow any, because he was the candidate of the 'true believers'.
-Stelmach got the support of several of the candidates who were forced to drop out.
-While Morton's and Dinning's forces sniped at each other, Stelmach kept fairly quiet, and thus appealed to party members who want to keep the PCs strong and in power.
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