[Itse]

On the topic of predictive power of stats.

Halfway through the season, around the time when Bingo predicted we were ready to turn a corner because fancy stats I made my own analysis that went basically like this: the Flames, then a bubble playoff team, were alreay something like 15 goals under the water in comparison to the competition, halfway through the season, and that was with a record slightly better than 50/50. Obviously a team with a negative goal differential is going to lose more than win in the long term, so we had been overperforming so far.

In other words, they would have to start playing significantly better just to stay in the competition. Much more likely they would drop significantly behind by the end of the season. I also remember saying many times that they're projecting to be a below 90 point team.

The Flames were not close this season. The late season collapse was more likely than that January point streak, and ultimately the team is ending right around where they were projecting in the first third of the season.

This is what the primary stats predicted. It's why they're primary and corsi is secondary.

I also honestly now think corsi is likely worse than nothing, because in general I highly respect Bingos insight into the game, but predicting that the Flames would turn a corner should have been obviously foolish.

I mean no offense, sorry.