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Old 04-03-2018, 12:59 PM   #20
Passe La Puck
Crash and Bang Winger
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pointman View Post
The assumption was that every coach is doing it so wrong not because they are dummies, but because their job depends on looking like a good coach rather than doing something risky and unconventional.
that is exactly what I said, and I find the idea offensive. These are the top coaches in the world, of course some are better than others and we question if some should even be in the league (GG), but the idea they they're all 100% making decisions focused on optics and not results is insane.

A far more reasonable explanation is that the model isn't very accurate. And that isn't surprising, these models take massive amounts of work on better framed problems (financial markets) and as the original blurb alluded to most models don't do great there either...
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