Quote:
Originally Posted by transplant99
That's fine and even reasonable.
Here is where it falls apart though...assuming everyone else stays healthy, in particular the starters.
It would be great if they do obviously, it just doesn't seem like a reasonable assumption though.
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Actually, they aren't assuming the rest of the rotation stays healthy. All they are assuming is that the collective group of Stroman, Happ and Estrada pitch roughly the same amount of innings, and put up roughly the same amount or WAR as they did last season. That's an average of 177 innings and 2.7 WAR per pitcher. They are also only projecting 137 innings (2.1 WAR) from Sanchez, and 127 innings (1.4 WAR) from Garcia.
None of that is really out of line IMO. In fact, a healthy Sanchez will likely blow those projections out of the water.