Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - Pulling the Goalie: Hockey and Investment Implications

GGG · 04-03-2018, 06:56 AM

I think the Hartley 3rd period comebacks were driven partly by early goalie pulls.

The big variable is it assumes that pulling the goalie at 5:40 to go has the same probability of scoring per minutes as with 90 seconds to go. This is not a valid assumption as strategies will change as people start pulling goalies early and you end up with a third line shift pulling that early instead of just 1/2nd line shifts.

That said I think the statement that goalies are pulled to late is valid in the same way that teams don't go for it enough on fourth down.

04-03-2018, 06:56 AM	#15
GGG Franchise Player Join Date: Aug 2008 Location: California Exp:	I think the Hartley 3rd period comebacks were driven partly by early goalie pulls. The big variable is it assumes that pulling the goalie at 5:40 to go has the same probability of scoring per minutes as with 90 seconds to go. This is not a valid assumption as strategies will change as people start pulling goalies early and you end up with a third line shift pulling that early instead of just 1/2nd line shifts. That said I think the statement that goalies are pulled to late is valid in the same way that teams don't go for it enough on fourth down.