Quote:
Originally Posted by The Boy Wonder
This team just doesn’t pass the eye test on home ice for me.
Even if the stats do say they are amazing at possession and getting lots of shots, but how many of those shots look truly threatening? How many times when you see the flames get into the offensive zone and generate shots do you say “wow those were some really close chances?”
There may be a case for actually getting further advanced High danger stats that show how many of those high danger shots a) the defense has at least 4 defenders in the home plate area b) how many generated a rebound, c) how many went towards the outer corners of the nets d) how long did they take to generate the shot from gaining possession.
Those are just four examples of things that advanced stats don’t currently tell us that would actually allow us to see whether it is bad luck or not but currently it doesn’t look like bad luck to me it looks like poor shooting and bad shots
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I think the poor shooting part is a big part of this. Both Bingo and Kent Wilson posted some stats earlier this year that showed how big of a problem is for this team.
It's also why I think the eye test isn't necessarily correlating to what the fancy stats say for this team.
Naturally we expect a scoring chance to result in a big save and some sort of scramble around the net but when you miss the net it tends to end all momentum and not look like a chance was actually generated.
So for this team I feel like the do generate scoring chances or high danger chances in the slot but miss the net on those chances at an abnormal rate that makes them seem "less dangerous" to the eye test.
I think that does fall into the lack of real offensive skill in our forward groups, always looking to make a perfect play on home ice, a bit of bad luck, and potentially the coach having the guys gripping their sticks too tight.