Quote:
Originally Posted by mikephoen
There are actually two options. They've had bad luck, or the fancy stats aren't all that predictive or accurate.
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Like everything it's probably a bit of both.
But there is no denying the fact that the team having a bottom 3 save percentage and a bottom 5 shooting percentage on home ice is some bad luck / poor shooting (missing the net is an issue this team has that can't be blamed on luck or coaching IMO).
Especially when those rates have dropped so much year over year, and when they don't appear to be an issue on the road.
Sometimes teams just have bad goalies, and/or poor shooters. That can happen. This team has been consistent enough from a roster perspective year over year, and the home/road splits are drastic enough, that it shows that luck is involved to some degree.
I do get it though. Looking into the root causes of why a team is struggling is hard, it's a lot easier to just say "pffft those fancy stats are wrong, it's all that useless coaches fault".