View Single Post
Old 03-13-2018, 08:51 AM   #3855
SuperMatt18
Franchise Player
 
SuperMatt18's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Calgary, AB
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Erick Estrada View Post
I can't take credit for the post below but I suggest you read the two links as Flamesnation went deep digging stats that disprove that theory. They aren't articles defending Hartley but proving that the team has played worse under Gulutzan. It's eye opening and shows the team in fact did play better under Hartley;
That Flames nation article is a bit bias - since the notion of the article was to build a case for firing Gulutzan.

And even then they show the year over year change in the scoring chances against and use that as the argument as for why to fire him.

Even though if you look at it the team is still in the top half of the league when it comes to suppressing chances - both at home and on the road.

Posted this in the other coaching thread but the teams shot suppression and scoring chance against rate that the article uses are actually worse on the road than at home - that is where we actually have a good record.

Also where we have a good save percentage. For comparisons sake our save percentage at home last season was .906 with our "terrible" goaltending, this year it's .895.

Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18 View Post
It is an interesting one.

Looking at some of the underlying stats in all scenarios (ES / PP / PK) and a big problem at home is they aren't getting saves and the puck just won't go in. The underlying numbers are pretty consistent and it's only shooting percentage and save percentage that have wild swings.

Home
GF: 91 (27TH)
GA: 106 (26TH)

Shots For: 34.6 (5TH)
Shots Against: 29.6 (8TH)
Shooting %: 7.65% (29TH)
Save %: .895 (30TH)

Corsi For: 67.54 (2ND)
Corsi Against: 53.99 (6TH)
Corsi %: 55.57% (2ND)
Corsi Shooting %: 3.92% (29TH)

Scoring Chance For: 32.22 (9TH)
Scoring Chance Against: 26.31 (10TH)
Scoring Chance %: 55.13% (5TH)

Road
GF: 104 (6TH)
GA: 95 (5TH)

Shots For: 31.8 (8TH)
Shots Against: 32.9 (21ST)
Shooting %: 8.94% (14TH)
Save %: .921 (4TH)

Corsi For: 61.18 (2ND)
Corsi Against: 60.28 (19TH)
Corsi %: 50.37% (9TH)
Corsi Shooting %: 4.64% (19TH)

Scoring Chance For: 31.15 (2ND)
Scoring Chance Against: 29.89 (14TH)
Scoring Chance %: 51.03% (5TH)

So according to this they actually do a better job of creating scoring chances and limiting scoring chances at home. The big difference is that on the road the puck goes in the net at an average rate, and we get way above average goaltending.

I think that matches the eye test too. I feel like at home every game this year starts with some type of soft or "unlucky" goal that bounces in off of our own guy. Then they spend all game peppering the other team and nothing goes in while every chance the other team gets ends up in the Flames net.

Last edited by SuperMatt18; 03-13-2018 at 08:58 AM.
SuperMatt18 is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to SuperMatt18 For This Useful Post: