Quote:
Originally Posted by Classic_Sniper
I would agree that CF% isn't everything. I'm not even a corsi or advanced stats guy, but the Flames internal statistician counted 27 scoring chances for the Flames yesterday. That's how many total shots on goal the Isles had. The Islanders also luckily scored 3 goals and while having just 3 scoring chances.
It could be just as simple as this team doesn't have the shooters to get it done. I mean are we really surprised? Who among the forward group has a cannon of a shot? Ferland? He has 1 goal in 23 games. Frolik? He's got a muffin. Bennett? Muffin. Brouwer? Muffin. We have guys who work hard and generate a lot of shots, but their actually ability to finish is below average.
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Most guys in the NHL by your definition have a muffin. The Tyler Seguins and Patrik Laines are the exceptions. Here's a look at our shot/goal distribution:
The Flames are 10th in the league in goals scored on wrist shots. They are 7th in league in wrist shots taken. So your muffin argument, as it pertains to wristers, seems pretty off.
The Flames are 27th in the league in goals scored on tips. They are fourth in the league in tipped shots. So it seems that this is an area of weakness for this team. And I think it's clear why - we don't attempt backdoor tips, they're all frontdoor prayers.
The Flames 29th in the league in goals scored on slap shots. They are 15th in the league in slap shots taken. One of the biggest criticisms of our power play is the lack of one-timers from the off-wing. So most of our slap shots are probably coming from Brodie, Giordano, Stone rather than forwards.
The Flames are 15th in the league in goals scored on deflections. They are 24th in the league in deflection shots.
The Flames are 16th in the league in goals scored on backhands. They are eighth in the league in backhand shots.
The Flames are 29th in the league in goals scored on snap shots. They are 15th in the league in snap shots taken.
It's pretty clear that certain type of goals are being executed as one might expect (Backhands, Wrist Shots, Lucky Deflections) while certain other type of goals are not (Snap Shots, Tips, and Slap Shots).
Now let's go back two seasons to the same numbers from the final year of the pre Gulutzan era:
3rd in wristshot goals / 6th in wrist shots.
3rd in tip goals / 12th in tip shots
17th in backhand goals / 19th in backhand shots.
30th in slap shot goals / 30th in slap shots.
24th in snap shot goals / 18th in snap shots.
15th in deflection goals / 21st in deflections.
Not sure what conclusion to draw, but again this was a team that scored primarily on wrist shots and wasn't "lacking finish" in any real sense other than rarely attempting slap shots.