Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaskal
Bingo, do you believe there is any value in adding another filter to the data to fine-tune the definition of what is a “high danger scoring chance”, to paint a clearer picture? Just like in 2014-15, we looked much better on Fenwick than Corsi due to Hartley’s collapse to the net style.
Someone made a post this weekend on how HDSC% wasn’t the strongest correlator with that of goals for. War-on-ice’s definition lists one problem here. I think if you changed the definition it could be a much more reliable metric.
http://blog.war-on-ice.com/index.htm...512.html#ref-2
War On Ice takes into account whether the chance is a rebound or off the rush, but not whether it challenged the goalie or not. If you factored in the amount of HD scoring chances to actually get on net AND not hit the goalie right in the chest, I’m guessing the Flames would be doing pretty abysmal. |
Yeah I saw the article on Leafs Nation
War-on-ice no longer exists so you can't go there, but he did summize that scoring chance and not high danger scoring chance is a better predictor of future results.
Unfortunately for Calgary it doesn't change much as they are ranked 3rd league wide in both categories five on five.
HDCF%
1 Dallas
2 Minnesota
3 Calgary
4 Montreal
5 Boston
6 Tampa
7 Jersey
8 Carolina
9 Winnipeg
10 Toronto
SCF%
1. Boston
2. Carolina
3. Calgary
4. Chicago
5. Tampa
6. Montreal
7. Vegas
8. Winnipeg
9. Pittsburgh
10. Dallas
The second list has four non playoff teams, the first three.
Last night the Flames had an 18-11 edge in all situation high danger chances 62%, and 41-23 in scoring chances (66%).
The Flames seem consistent in both stats.