Bingo, do you believe there is any value in adding another filter to the data to fine-tune the definition of what is a “high danger scoring chance”, to paint a clearer picture? Just like in 2014-15, we looked much better on Fenwick than Corsi due to Hartley’s collapse to the net style.
Someone made a post this weekend on how HDSC% wasn’t the strongest correlator with that of goals for. War-on-ice’s definition lists one problem here. I think if you changed the definition it could be a much more reliable metric.
http://blog.war-on-ice.com/index.htm...512.html#ref-2
Quote:
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Blocked shots pose an extra problem: they’re shots that have been recorded at the point at which they’ve been blocked, and are also more likely to be shots of less quality and speed by nature of their blocking.
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War On Ice takes into account whether the chance is a rebound or off the rush, but not whether it challenged the goalie or not. If you factored in the amount of HD scoring chances to actually get on net
AND not hit the goalie right in the chest, I’m guessing the Flames would be doing pretty abysmal.