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Bleeding Red · 03-09-2018, 01:23 PM

A lot will depend on who the new PC leader will be.

Ford has a serious chance of winning. He is quite clear - he will halt the minimum wage hike to $15. Re-open the school curriculum debate (beyond just the sex ed sections) including teacher compensation and performance (he already poked that bear - no way is the government paying the union's negotiating team). He won't privatize like crazy, but he will try to cut the public sector by at least 10%.

The teacher & public sector unions carry a lot of weight here - 1 in 4 people get their paycheque from the ON government. That has almost 2 in 4 people voting for their friend & partner the Liberal party.

Wynne only has to note - she has made an effort to bring down power bills (no PST and a 24% cut) (this is really, in my view, only a northern ON issue. Most homeowners I speak with aren't feeling this), She is trying in put in rent controls and fund community housing. ON has gained jobs in the last year or so and according to her ON has the best economy in the G7. It'll be hard to remind voters of the Liberal scandals when the PC scandals are still front page news.

If Elliot wins the leadership and she can get past the association with "cutter" Flaherty, then she has a shot at a majority. If Mulrony wins leadership, then it may lead to a Liberal minority. If one of the other 2 win leadership, we're cooked.

Wynne wasn't liked back in 2014 - and she had the power plant scandal and Ornge hanging around her neck. One foot-in-mouth moment by Hudak mixed with fear mongering juice and you get Liberal Majority. Now she has the sale of Hydro One, her associates being acquitted at trial - no problem, "remember, I got beer into grocery stores!"

There is no movement here to "get rid of" Wynne like there was to remove Harper. Unless there is a big bombshell surprise, it'll be a lot closer than the polls.

03-09-2018, 01:23 PM	#6
Bleeding Red Powerplay Quarterback Join Date: Oct 2001 Exp:	A lot will depend on who the new PC leader will be. Ford has a serious chance of winning. He is quite clear - he will halt the minimum wage hike to $15. Re-open the school curriculum debate (beyond just the sex ed sections) including teacher compensation and performance (he already poked that bear - no way is the government paying the union's negotiating team). He won't privatize like crazy, but he will try to cut the public sector by at least 10%. The teacher & public sector unions carry a lot of weight here - 1 in 4 people get their paycheque from the ON government. That has almost 2 in 4 people voting for their friend & partner the Liberal party. Wynne only has to note - she has made an effort to bring down power bills (no PST and a 24% cut) (this is really, in my view, only a northern ON issue. Most homeowners I speak with aren't feeling this), She is trying in put in rent controls and fund community housing. ON has gained jobs in the last year or so and according to her ON has the best economy in the G7. It'll be hard to remind voters of the Liberal scandals when the PC scandals are still front page news. If Elliot wins the leadership and she can get past the association with "cutter" Flaherty, then she has a shot at a majority. If Mulrony wins leadership, then it may lead to a Liberal minority. If one of the other 2 win leadership, we're cooked. Wynne wasn't liked back in 2014 - and she had the power plant scandal and Ornge hanging around her neck. One foot-in-mouth moment by Hudak mixed with fear mongering juice and you get Liberal Majority. Now she has the sale of Hydro One, her associates being acquitted at trial - no problem, "remember, I got beer into grocery stores!" There is no movement here to "get rid of" Wynne like there was to remove Harper. Unless there is a big bombshell surprise, it'll be a lot closer than the polls.