Games over .500 is always a good way to look at the standings independent of GP. The last 3 teams in are 11,13 and 13 games over. I expect that 14 games over will be good enough to be ahead of at least one of them, 13 will count on tie breakers, and 12 would need some OOT magic.
I think it will play out like this:
10-4 is in
9-4-1 is 50/50
9-5 is 25/75
Anything less it out.
|