Quote:
Originally Posted by nfotiu
Thanks for the reply and gives lots to think about If I remember right though, the odd man rushes started in the Rangers game before we were down.
There's been successful soccer teams over the years who've had a very deliberate strategy of playing a sound and disciplined defensive form and waiting for their opportunities on the counter attack. These team's corsi's would be dreadful, but they've proven that these strategies can be successful and sustainable over the long term.
It's not all that different than what a lot of road teams will try to do in hockey. It is my gut feeling that the Flames home game is lousy at anticipating and defending against that.
A breakaway or a 2 on 1 is much more dangerous than a shot from the danger zone with the defensive team all in position. I have to think that breakaways and 2 on 1 must be in the 30-35% range for converting into a goal. What's the conversion rate for danger and high danger scoring chances with both teams set up in the zone? I would assume it must be in the 10-15% range, wouldn't it?
Aren't the stats flawed if they can't discriminate between a 10-15% scoring chance and a 30-35% scoring chance?
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Here are some stats (without much backup):
https://www.arcticicehockey.com/2011...-and-shootouts