Thread: [CP Story] Home Woes
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Old 02-18-2018, 10:01 AM   #55
Enoch Root
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Join Date: May 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
Expected save percentage vs actual save percentage is another way to look at it as well ... it tries to bring the team into it by looking at the quality of shots faced.

If you do a home vs road scrape of that date you get this on home ice.

Smith -.79 (90.46 vs 91.26)
Rittich -19.72 (72 vs 91.72)

On the road the numbers ...

Smith 3.87 (94.36 vs 90.49)
Rittich 2.00 (92.88 vs 90.88)

This says a few things ...

1. Sample size for Rittich on home ice is unfair
2. The Flames are giving up more on the road (expected save percentage for Smith is higher on home ice)
3. The goalies are saving less on home ice despite the Flames giving up less

Or ... Glen Gulutzan sucks
Come on Bingo.

It is possible for it to be several things at the same time. There is no question that they play differently at home vs on the road - all of their metrics differ significantly. And if the style of play differs, the results are probably going to differ as well.

Can't we just discuss why?
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