Quote:
Originally Posted by transplant99
So we only use the last 3 years, because it fits YOUR narrative?And who cares how many posts he has made...they are all in response to someone discussing the subject with him.
But since you declared "facts", as the basis for your argument, lets look at ALL the "facts" shall we?
He is a career 41 point player in an 82 game season. Full stop. 9 seasons of data...not 3.
THIS season he is on pace for...47 pts which is not a 50 point pace, though its close enough to not quibble. That however is much more likely to decline than go up.
Does he get better as he gets to 30 years old? Possible but very unlikely. I can see him having a better year next year however, depending on if he gets to hold on to Tkachuk on his left side or not. MT is the guy that drives the offense on that line.
The money for the first couple years is great. The money in 3 or 4 years is very likely going to be something that hurts the club, which is what Brad Marsh is saying. Term is too long. I happen to agree as many others do. Its OK to discuss that is it not?
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Enoch's reply was to the bolded bit about Brad's claim that "Backlund has never shown himself to be a consistent 50 point producer". Not that he's averaging 50 pt per season in his career.
3 seasons worth of data shows that Backlund has on average, produced 49.7 points. Good enough in my eyes to refute that Backlund has
never been a
consistent 50 point player.
Nobody is ignoring or expecting that Backlund's offensive production won't drop off sooner than later based on his age. However the fans of the deal willing to overlook the cost of the contract near the end, are looking at the positives like relative cap savings right now, ability to retain defensive play at an older age and being a valuable member of the team at any point of his career.