Quote:
Originally Posted by nfotiu
Can you point me to any bit of research that shows that having more attempted shots than the opposition will inevitably mean lead to winning more games or even dominating play or possession? I understand that there is correlation between winning and these stats, but there is a big difference between a causal relationship and correlation.
Baseball stat geeks have done a good job of being able to isolate what players abilities can control, and which are luck based that will eventually regress. Unless you can point me at convincing things, I don't believe the hockey stats are there yet or even close.
We're pretty deep into the season now, and luck and bounces should have mostly evened out, yet there is a huge gap between our road success and home success. There are rules in the NHL that give the home team a distinct advantage, and not only are we not seeing that advantage, but we are considerably worse at home.
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The Sharks made the playoffs last year I think with an under .500 record at home.
It happens for full seasons.
All good though, you don't have to read anything into any of this. But the eye test firmly matches the statistics since the new year in my opinion. They're playing solid road games and finding a way to lose.
So in this case I think the shot attempts are aligned to carrying the play.