Quote:
Originally Posted by Strange Brew
Thanks for the reference. I looked at the “what is this section” and for the weighted version, they seem to only include records (won/loss) and 4% home ice advantage. So not looking for underlying reasons as to why a record is what it is. Unless of course I’m missing something which is of course very possible.
Not disputing it’s validity. I’m just back to Flames need to play well and win games down the stretch. 98 points is going to get you in or very close.
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I think 98-points gets the Flames in on the basis of my own evaluation of the strength of schedule for the teams bunched in outside the division lead and in the wildcard race. It might take as many as 98-points to land a wildcard slot this year, but I also think it is probable that several teams will miss the playoffs or be re-seeded on the basis of tie breakers.
This raises an interesting question when evaluating the success of the season as a whole:
· If the Flames end up tied for points in the #2–3 division spots, is this a good season?
· If the Flames end up tied for #3 in the division but are slotted in the wildcard, is this a successful season?
· If the Flames end up outside of the playoffs on the basis of a tie-breaker is this an unsuccessful season?
The competition between eight or nine very good teams in the Western Conference is so tight and so fierce that I think it complicates how we will end up evaluating the regular season. The Flames realistically could miss the playoffs and simultaneously be a single point—but with more ROWs—than the #2 division team.