My anecdote is that I have quite a few friends who smoke pot daily. I had 1 friend who was still getting pot from a dealer, just a few weeks ago his dealer told him he was done and it wasn't worth it anymore. Now he goes to the dispensary like everyone else. I hear it takes about 10 minutes to get a prescription in the store with a doctor over skype.
Here, around Nelson BC where it wasn't difficult to find pot at all, there's no one to buy it off of. There is 0% chance these laws won't stop black market sale of pot in Canada. I've heard through the grapevine that most suppliers are in exit strategy mode already, again, in the west kootenays. If those guys stop then there will be no black market pot to sell, and they're stopping. It might not stop completely right away but I wouldn't imagine it takes more than 3 years.
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